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Midterms J – 35: Democrats retain their advantage for the House of Representatives

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Democrat in the House of Representatives supported by Barack Obama, at a rally against the appointment of Brett Kavanaugh at the Supreme Court in Boston on October 1.

At five weeks of US mid-term elections, Republicans have stopped funding several of their candidates deemed losers.

The fact of the day

The US Democratic Party remains for the moment best placed in the perspective of the mid-term elections of November 6 for the House of Representatives. It maintains a gap of 7 to 8 points on the Republican Party according to the barometer RealClearPolitics and FiveThirtyEight, which compile the latest polls measuring the balance of power between the two major parties.

The Democrats have been ahead of the Conservatives for months, which are penalized by the approval rate of President Trump. The latter remains well below 50% despite the glowing health of the US economy, which the president claims as a personal success.

Democratic mobilization is verified at the level of candidates’ campaign accounts. According to a study by Reuters, the Democrats had raised September 24 average $ 72,000 in individual donations, against only 35,000 for the Republicans. In 2014, during the last midterms, the Democrats had collected an average sum of $ 42,000. They were then hot-headed by Republicans ($ 39,000).

The Conservatives can rely on the party’s financial arm to counter the Democrats, but the large number of constituencies in which they are on the defensive now forces them to delicate arbitrations. The political action committee of Republican Speaker Paul Ryan, who does not stand for re-election, has decided to stop supporting two candidates in Colorado and Michigan.

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